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Journal of Ecology

○ Wiley

Preprints posted in the last 30 days, ranked by how well they match Journal of Ecology's content profile, based on 49 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.04% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

1
Beyond diversity: A whole system view of vegetation's control of erosion

Cabrera Belen, J.; Livsey, D. N.; Benfer-Martin, C.; Groh, T. A.; Cardinale, B. J.

2026-10-09 ecology 10.64898/2026.10.08.757748 medRxiv
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Streambank erosion degrades both terrestrial and aquatic ecosystems, and riparian buffers are among the most widely used tools to control it. Yet most of what is known about how riparian vegetation controls erosion comes from one or two-species systems, which overlook the diversity of riparian communities and species interactions (competition and facilitation) that may shape the root systems that bind soil. We used a streambank mesocosm experiment to test whether plant species richness alters root traits, and whether root traits and species interactions reduce erosion. We established 85 mesocosms ranging from unvegetated controls to six-species polycultures, measured root biomass, length, volume, and diameter, quantified species interactions with relative yield totals (RYT), and measured erosion rate with a jet erosion test. Vegetated mesocosms eroded significantly less than unvegetated controls (t = 4.05, p = 0.023). Richness did not affect most root traits, although mean root diameter decreased as richness increased ({beta} = -0.0225, p = 0.047). RYT ranged from competition (RYT < 1) to facilitation (RYT >1), yet neither interactions nor any root trait was directly associated with erosion rate. However, RYT was negatively associated with soil moisture ({beta} = -0.196, p = 0.010). Piecewise structural equation models showed that erosion was best explained by a pathway linking species presence, root length, and soil moisture (AIC = 39.27; Fisher's C = 11.27, df = 12, p = 0.506). Panicum virgatum increased root length, whereas Lolium multiflorum and Echinochloa crus-galli reduced it; longer roots were associated with drier soil (standardized {beta} = -0.31, p = 0.005), and wetter soils eroded more slowly (standardized {beta} = -0.39, p < 0.001). Which species were present mattered more than how many, and plants were linked to erosion through soil moisture rather than root traits alone. Species selection for riparian buffers may need to consider effects on soil moisture as well as rooting extent, particularly as droughts followed by intense storms become more common under a changing climate.

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Forest belowground productivity and carbon allocation predominantly driven by soil properties rather than climate

Polyakov, A. Y.; Klock, A. M.; Mafune, K. K.; Berdahl, A. M.; Vogt, K. A.; Vogt, D. J.

2026-09-28 ecology 10.64898/2026.09.24.754289 medRxiv
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Forests are threatened by a multitude of stressors, including anthropogenic disturbances and climate change. Assessing how forests will respond to these stressors requires a comprehensive understanding of net primary productivity (Npp), environmental constraints on growth, and adaptive capacity. A parameter of significant uncertainty is belowground Npp (bNpp), which can account for up to 80% of total Npp but is poorly estimated and rarely measured directly. We used a cross-biome dataset of direct, field-based measurements of aboveground and belowground primary productivity and 21 climatic and soil variables to identify potential constraints on bNpp and belowground carbon allocation in boreal and cold temperate forests. Soil variables, rather than climate variables, were the main drivers of bNpp and belowground allocation across biomes. The importance of soil variables suggests that soil nutrient dynamics, especially soil nutrient pool and flux variables, must be explicitly modeled to more accurately predict feedbacks between climate, productivity, and within-tree carbon allocation. Within biomes, environmental drivers of belowground allocation varied between low versus high allocation forests, indicating that environmental drivers are site-specific and the development of within-biome, site-scale classifications for forest ecosystems could be useful. Changes in soil variables, such as increasing soil nitrogen pools, caused abrupt and large decreases in bNpp for boreal, but not cold temperate forests. Threshold-like shifts indicate that boreal forests might have lower adaptive capacity and higher sensitivity to disturbances than cold temperate forests. With 70% of boreal forests characterized by low bNpp, disturbances such as anthropogenic nitrogen deposition could cause large-scale decreases in bNpp that could push these forests beyond their adaptive capacity.

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Belowground functional traits predict population temporal stability in grasslands

Golshani, S.; Bergmann, J.; Gresse, J.; Liancourt, P.; Majekova, M.

2026-09-28 ecology 10.64898/2026.09.25.754125 medRxiv
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Temporal stability of plant populations is a key determinant of species coexistence and ecosystem functioning, yet its trait-based explanation has remained largely aboveground. Whether root functional traits contribute to long-term population stability remains poorly understood, despite roots mediating water and nutrient acquisition. We combined 17 years of vegetation monitoring from 150 temperate grassland plots across three regions in Germany with root functional trait data for 72 common grassland species. Temporal stability was computed as coefficient of variation (CV), with lower CV indicating higher stability. We tested whether root traits predict stability, and specifically which belowground dimensions from resource acquisition/conservation or soil exploration dominate, and whether differences in land use intensity modifies these relationships. Root traits were stronger and more consistent predictors of temporal stability than the classical aboveground traits specific leaf area (SLA) and leaf dry matter content (LDMC). Higher average root diameter (AD), root hair incidence (RHI), specific root length (SRL), and root tissue density (RTD) were generally associated with higher temporal stability, although the strength of these relationships varied among regions. Land use modified selected trait and stability relationships, with the strongest shifts occurring along the mowing gradient. Increasing mowing strengthened the associations of higher RHI and RTD with temporal stability, whereas the associations of AD and root N shifted towards lower stability. Our results identify belowground functional traits as an important missing component of trait-based temporal stability research and advance our understanding of the functional strategies underlying population temporal stability in managed semi-natural grasslands.

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Environmental correlates of understory plant diversity and distribution in a temperate climate-change refugium

McNichol, B. H.; Dunn, C.; Granville, D.; Hoffart, L.; McGuire, B.; Ridder, A.; Wang, R.; Russo, S. E.

2026-10-06 ecology 10.64898/2026.10.02.756313 medRxiv
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Aim Regional climate-change refugia - areas where abiotic conditions related to hydrology and topography sustain unique plant communities despite an otherwise unsuitable regional macroclimate - have been essential for maintaining biodiversity through past climatic transitions. At fine spatial scales, regional refugia can also contain microrefugia, where canopy structure and topography strongly buffer understory microclimate. We tested whether such microrefugia structure understory plant communities within a regional climate-change refugium, where sheltered, groundwater-fed canyons have sustained a biogeographically distinctive flora since the Last Glacial Maximum. Location Temperate forest in the North American Great Plains, Nebraska, USA. Methods In a 20.2-ha forest inventory plot spanning a sharp topographic gradient, we quantified diversity, composition, and distributions and of understory woody and herbaceous plants across seven functional groups along fine-scale topographic, light, and soil moisture gradients. Results Woody species density and richness were significantly higher within sheltered microrefugia in canyon bottoms and on forested slopes and strongly decreased with increasing canopy openness, whereas C4 grass richness was highest along the exposed, high-light forest-prairie ecotone, reflecting divergent functional group responses to microclimate buffering. Soil moisture structured richness across functional groups: woody plant and C3 grass richness peaked at moisture extremes, sedge richness at intermediate moisture variability, and C4 grass richness declined with increasing moisture variability. Both woody and herbaceous understory plants showed strong variation in composition with topography; in particular, woody seedlings and graminoids exhibited strong species turnover with increasing elevation. Main Conclusions These results demonstrate that topographically driven microrefugia support disproportionate understory biodiversity and suggest that protecting both regional refugia and finer-scale microrefugia will be critical for conserving plant communities, including species documented exclusively in microrefugia, as macroclimate continues to change.

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Combined negative effects of simultaneous perturbations on grassland functionality

Fioratti, M.; Gombeer, S.; Holmes, J.; Zimmerman, S.; Rillig, M. C.; Risch, A. C.; Cordero, I.

2026-09-29 ecology 10.64898/2026.09.28.754907 medRxiv
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1. Grassland ecosystems are pivotal for global biodiversity, carbon (C) storage and food security. This biome, however, together with the ecosystem services it provides, is threatened by global change perturbations. These perturbations rarely occur in isolation and most often affect environments simultaneously, which is a pressing issue in ecology. Nevertheless, most of the research conducted so far has focussed on single simultaneous perturbations or pairs thereof. The few examples considering the effect of more than two simultaneous perturbations focussed only on plants or soil separately, which ignores the potential buffering or feedback effects on ecosystem functioning induced by plant-soils interactions. 2. To tackle this knowledge gap, we used an experimental setup involving mesocosms (soil and plants intact) collected in an extensively managed permanent grassland. Mesocosms were arranged in a greenhouse experiment where we applied individual and combined global change perturbations (up to ten in total) including application of fertilisers, pesticides and antibiotics, simulated trampling and grazing, heat stress and drought. Measured ecosystem functions and properties included a large set of biological, physical and chemical soil and plant associated variables. 3. Results showed that multiple perturbations in most cases had negative effects irrespective of the direction found for individual perturbations. However, in contrast to previous bare soil experiments, we only found scarce evidence for substantial synergistic effects of simultaneous perturbations in our experiment conducted with mesocosms that contained vegetation. This suggests a mitigating impact of plants on soil responses to global change. Moreover, we found a strong dominative effect of drought on ecosystem functioning, driving most of the effects observed. 4. Synthesis: Our results highlight the importance of evaluating global change impacts under more realistic settings, i.e., applying multiple perturbations simultaneously and including plant-soil interactions. Mitigation of global change in terrestrial ecosystems will only be possible once we holistically understand how ecosystems respond to altered conditions.

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Effects of Heat Shock and Smoke on the Germination of Woody Species from Tropical Dry Forests

Diaz Bernal, N. A.; Castellanos, M. C.; Parrado Rosselli, A.

2026-10-06 ecology 10.64898/2026.10.04.756604 medRxiv
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Fire-dependent or fire-influenced ecosystems harbor species with diverse response strategies, such as smoke-stimulated germination and dormancy release through heat shocks. Although these cues influence germination in many fire-prone ecosystems, their effects on seeds of woody species from tropical dry forests (TDFs) remain poorly understood. We evaluated the germination response of twelve TDF woody species to three heat-shock temperatures (80, 120, and 160C), two exposure times (3 and 5 min), and two smoke conditions (with and without smoke water), plus dry and wet controls. We also assessed the relationship between germination and functional seed traits, including permeability, seed-coat thickness, mass, and shape index. Of the eleven species that germinated, four showed broad tolerance, with no significant reduction in germination even at 160C for 5 min, which was associated with lower permeability, thicker seed coats, and greater mass. Four other species showed restricted tolerance to heat, with significant declines in germination at higher temperatures or longer exposure times, and were associated with higher permeability, thinner seed coats, and lower seed mass. The remaining three species showed heat-stimulated germination between 80 and 120C and tended to have lower shape-index values. Smoke treatments significantly increased germination in three species, Ceiba pentandra, Guazuma ulmifolia, and Samanea saman. In the remaining species, significant differences were either absent or attributable to moisture or imbibition effects rather than to smoke itself. Overall, germination responses to heat were associated with variation in functional seed traits, whereas responses to smoke were less widespread and showed a less consistent functional pattern.

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Forest canopy height change due to demographic and allometric shifts

Lichstein, J. W.; Woods, M. J.; Hogan, J. A.; Domke, G. M.

2026-10-02 ecology 10.64898/2026.09.30.755816 medRxiv
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Forest canopy height is sensitive to shifts in demography (which affect tree size distributions and abundances of short-vs. tall-statured species) and allometry. Demographic and allometric effects on canopy height have not previously been studied across a large region. We analyzed more than two million individual tree measurements from about 60,000 remeasured inventory plots in non-plantation forests across 19 ecoregions of the conterminous United States to quantify changes in aboveground live tree biomass (AGB), canopy height, and its demographic and allometric components from ~2003-2025. We tested the hydraulic limitation hypothesis, which predicts decreasing tree height with increasing hydraulic stress. AGB was strongly correlated with canopy height across ecoregions, and AGB change was strongly correlated with canopy height change over time. Canopy height change was positive in nearly all eastern ecoregions but varied in sign across western ecoregions. Demographic shifts led to increased canopy height in most eastern ecoregions but decreased canopy height in most western ecoregions. In contrast, allometric shifts, averaged across species, caused either positive or no significant change in ecoregion-mean canopy height. Our results were consistent with several predictions of the hydraulic limitation hypothesis: (i) intraspecific allometric shifts were more positive for understory than for canopy trees, (ii) across ecoregions, canopy height was positively correlated with precipitation and negatively correlated with vapor pressure deficit, and (iii) canopy height change over time was positively correlated with precipitation change. However, our results suggest modifications to the hydraulic limitation hypothesis, because allometric shifts tended to be positive, even in ecoregions with decreasing precipitation and increasing vapor pressure deficits. Such allometric shifts, which seem counter to the hydraulic limitation hypothesis, may be caused by CO2-driven increases in water-use efficiency. Whatever their cause, allometric shifts should be accounted for to avoid biased estimates of canopy height change and biomass change.

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Metrics matter: Modelling plant-frugivore networks in a tropical dry forest ecosystem

DePasquale, A. N.; Batchelor, T.; Cejalvo Insausti, B.; Strickland, J.; Sanchez, N. V.; Mennill, D. J.; Nevo, O.; Melin, A. D.

2026-09-29 ecology 10.64898/2026.09.28.755107 medRxiv
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Arboreal camera trapping is an emerging remote sensing tool for building plant-frugivore interaction networks with enormous potential to provide new insights into seed dispersal as an eco-evolutionary process. Interaction data derived from camera trap videos broadly falls into two categories: visitation, indicating the presence of an animal in a tree, and intake, indicating true fruit consumption. These linked approximations of seed dispersal may or may not provide distinct sets of information, shaping our understanding of network dynamics, yet the extent to which emergent network structure depends on variable choice is unknown. To address this gap, we deployed camera traps in the canopy of 21 plant species in the Costa Rican tropical dry forest, an endangered biome with sparse community-wide plant-frugivore interaction data. Our objectives were: 1) Quantify plant-frugivore network structure in the tropical dry forest via network, group, and species-level metrics; and 2) Compare metrics between visitation and intake networks. We find strong structural patterns of low connectance, low nestedness, high modularity, and low niche overlap that differ significantly from null expectations in the same direction in both networks. The visitation network exhibited significantly greater modularity & species degree than the intake network, while the intake network exhibited significantly greater plant niche overlap than the visitation network. These findings suggest that the likelihood of consuming fruit on camera differs across species, which may have downstream consequences on other emerging metric estimations. Researchers seeking to build quantitative plant-frugivore networks should therefore consider visitation and intake variables in concert when relying on camera trap data. This work provides foundational plant-frugivore interaction data for a critically endangered biome and enhances our understanding of camera trapping as a remote sensing tool in frugivory and seed dispersal research.

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Scale matters: the arbuscular mycorrhiza - root hair trade-off from individual plants to communities

Matthus, E.; Hennecke, J.; Barfuss, K. M.; Henning, T.; Mommer, L.; Bergmann, J.

2026-10-06 ecology 10.64898/2026.10.05.756675 medRxiv
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1. Plant roots employ multiple strategies to acquire soil resources, including the outgrowth of root hairs and the association with arbuscular mycorrhizal fungi (AMF). These structures represent alternative pathways to access soil resources. Evidence is derived mostly from studies within single species or multi-species experiments under controlled conditions. It remains unclear whether this trade-off holds under natural conditions and whether it manifests consistently across different scales of biological organization. 2. We analysed 81 grassland species representing grasses, forbs and legumes, sampled under heterogeneous field conditions in three regions across Germany, allowing for analyses (i) across different species (interspecific), (ii) across communities (intercommunity), (iii) within plant species (intraspecific) and (iv) within root systems of individual plants (intra-individual). Fine root traits related to AMF colonization (including scoring of fungal hyphae and arbuscules) and root hair growth (including length and incidence) were quantified. 3. Comparing plant species, we observed a strong negative correlation between mycorrhizal colonization and root hair traits, confirming previous studies working under controlled conditions. The negative relationship between root hair length and mycorrhization was also evident when comparing mean trait values at the plant community scale. Among different individuals of the same species (i.e. intraspecific scale), there was no consistent pattern of trait-trait relationship. When comparing within roots of the same plant (i.e. intra-individual scale), co-occurrence of root hairs and mycorrhiza was less likely than what would be expected by chance, with forbs showing the most consistent negative pattern. 4. Our study demonstrates that the hypothesized trade-off between AMF and root hairs is a robust pattern under field conditions at the community and interspecific scale. At the intraspecific scale, no uniform trade-off pattern can be discerned, and within single root systems the negative trade-off pattern is widespread but weak. This indicates that ecological and evolutionary constraints shape trait-trait relationships at higher scale, whereas physiological limits do not restrict trait co-occurrence at lower scales.

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Loss of a belowground mutualist disrupts a fundamental biodiversity-disease relationship

Laggan, N. A.; Kübler, A. S.; Weber, S. E.; Niklaus, P. A.; Halliday, F. W.

2026-09-24 ecology 10.64898/2026.09.23.753874 medRxiv
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Diverse ecological communities can reduce pathogen transmission; a phenomenon known as the dilution effect of biodiversity. This effect, in turn, depends on variation in host species' ability to spread disease (i.e., host competence) and which host species persist under biodiversity loss. Mutualistic symbionts can influence host competence and are sensitive to variation in host biodiversity; yet whether mutualists can modify dilution effects is unknown, partially because quantifying host competence during epidemics remains challenging. We experimentally tested whether mutualists could modify dilution effects by establishing gradients of host species richness, community competence, and access to the below-ground arbuscular mycorrhizal fungus (AMF), Rhizoglomus irregulare. Plant hosts were then exposed to the fungal root pathogen, Rhizoctonia solani, and disease spread was monitored over the course of an epidemic. Overall, host richness did not affect epidemic outcomes. Instead, AMF inoculation increased disease risk via species-specific increases in host competence. Moreover, communities containing highly competent host species experienced more disease, but only in the presence of mutualistic AMF. These results underscore the importance of plant community composition in mycorrhiza-mediated disease dynamics and suggest that predicting disease in our changing world might require a deeper understanding of host-symbiont and pathogen-symbiont interactions under global change.

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Temporal stasis in three facets of biodiversity reveals mechanisms of community assembly across elevation gradients

Goff, K. A.; Koontz, M. J.; Laufenberg, C.; Meng, S.; Reiss, M.; Bishop, C.; Bishop, J.; Burke, M. T.; Smithers, B. V.; Oldfather, M. F.; Sheth, S. N.

2026-10-06 ecology 10.64898/2026.10.05.756846 medRxiv
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Understanding spatial and temporal variation in community composition is central to protecting and monitoring biodiversity. Similarity in the composition of two communities decreases along spatial and temporal gradients, a relationship known as distance decay. Comparing distance-decay relationships across taxonomic, functional, and bioclimatic facets of diversity provides a means of interrogating niche-based versus neutral influences on community assembly. Furthermore, the context in which these facets yield overlapping or complementary information about global change impacts remains poorly understood. In this study, we examined spatiotemporal distance-decay relationships for taxonomic, functional, and bioclimatic facets of alpine plant diversity leveraging elevation gradients on five peaks in the White Mountains, California, USA, sampled at 3-4 time points between 2007 and 2024. Using multivariate Bayesian beta regression models, we estimated the slopes of elevation distance decay over multiple surveys and across taxonomic, functional and bioclimatic diversity to understand how spatial distance-decay relationships are changing through time and across different facets of diversity. We found strong spatial distance decay of taxonomic similarity across all peaks, with the highest elevation peak showing the strongest decay. Functional and bioclimatic similarities decayed more weakly than taxonomic similarity, suggesting environmental filtering shapes trait and niche distributions. Critically, spatial decay patterns showed no temporal signal across facets of diversity, indicating community stasis rather than biotic homogenization or differentiation. This study adds further evidence that xeric alpine plant communities are resisting climate change impacts through time.

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Treeline ecotone habitat loss and upward shift is driven by land abandonment rather than climate change in the Italian Alps

Carrieri, E.; Nguyen, H. T.; Fabio, M.; Anselmetto, N.; Morresi, D.; Garbarino, M.

2026-09-30 ecology 10.64898/2026.09.30.755293 medRxiv
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1. Plant populations at high elevation persist near their physiological limits, and treeline position is one of the clearest expressions of this constraint. In many mountain regions, however, this limit reflects historical land use as much as climate. Treeline shift is most often tracked as the displacement of a boundary line (1D) overlooking structural changes only visible when the ecotone is analysed as a surface (2D). 2. We reconstructed treeline ecotone dynamics at nine sites in the Italian Alps using aerial imagery from 1954 and 2017. At each site we detected the timberline and tree species line, quantified elevational displacement, and measured ecotonal surface change, relating them to climatic, land-use, and topographic predictors. 3. Both boundaries advanced upslope at all nine sites, with timberlines shifting faster (1.6 m/yr) than tree species lines (1.1 m/yr). This decoupled velocity caused the ecotonal surface to contract by ~17%. Land-use variables consistently explained more variance than climatic ones. 4. Land-use legacy and abandonment have a major role in shaping treeline dynamics. Boundary displacement reveals vegetation advance at both margins, while the surface view reveals concurrent narrowing of the habitat available for tree establishment. Both perspectives are needed to fully characterize how plant populations respond to shifting limiting factors at the treeline ecotone.

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Coexistence of annual plants under competition and reproductive interference

Shinohara, N.; Yamawo, A.; Katsuhara, K.

2026-10-01 ecology 10.64898/2026.09.30.755560 medRxiv
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In natural ecosystems, community dynamics are driven by diverse interactions operating through both ecological and reproductive processes. Although theory predicts that these processes jointly generate complex and contingent dynamics through the interplay of stabilizing (negative frequency dependence arising from niche differences) and destabilizing effects (positive frequency dependence caused by reproductive interference), empirical tests of this prediction remain scarce. Here, we combined experimental and theoretical approaches to investigate the dynamics of two congeneric annual plant species (Commelina) experiencing both ecological competition and reproductive interference. Our empirically parameterized model revealed a large niche difference and mutual reproductive interference. However, the reproductive interference was not strong enough to generate pronounced contingency of community dynamics on initial conditions. Instead, coexistence was the most likely outcome regardless of initial species composition. Parameter exploration indicated that the weak contingency arose because reproductive assurance strategies of Commelina species buffered the minority disadvantage caused by reproductive interference. These findings provide empirical evidence that reproductive interference does not necessarily destabilize coexistence and that it may be outweighed by ecological niche and fitness differences. Our study highlights the importance of integrating ecological and reproductive processes towards better prediction of community dynamics.

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Climate of origin constrains phenological tracking of temperature in a California endemic oak (Quercus lobata)

Goetz, A. R. B.; Sork, V. L.; Canning, C. A.; Ivey, C. T.; Carlisle, E.; Wada, E.; Wright, J. W.

2026-09-28 plant biology 10.64898/2026.09.26.754716 medRxiv
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Premise of the study. Phenotypic plasticity is advantageous for many plants that experience environmental fluctuations, but strong selection pressures can establish limits to plasticity. In deciduous trees, the ability to time leaf elongation in response to spring temperatures can extend the length of the growing season for a given year's climate. However, emergence timing may have undergone strong selection by factors like cold temperatures, limiting the capacity of locally adapted populations to adjust via plasticity to new conditions. Methods. Using a nine-year dataset of 659 families of Quercus lobata in two common gardens, we tested how climate of origin and annual temperatures at the gardens affected variation in phenology. We then examined whether leaf emergence timing was under selection in the gardens by testing its effects on growth. Finally, we tested whether among-year plasticity in leaf emergence timing conferred a growth benefit. Key results. Year-to-year environmental variation explained more phenological variation than genetic differences associated with climate of origin, yet trees from cooler climates were more constrained in their ability to track temperature than trees from warmer climates. We found evidence of weak stabilizing and directional selection on phenology, suggesting that strong selection in favor of earlier phenology is unlikely. Finally, we found no evidence that selection has favored increased plasticity in Q. lobata. Conclusions. Phenological plasticity remains a key driver of plants' response to changing temperatures, but it is constrained by natural selection. As temperatures rise, these processes may disproportionately limit the ability of trees adapted to cooler climates to shift their phenology to match spring temperatures.

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Dark diversity reveals assembly constraints across trophic levels in large-scale grassland restoration

Chen, Q.; Forgione, L.; Slodowicz, D.; Enz, G.; Wyss, M.; Arlettaz, R.; Humbert, J.-Y.

2026-10-07 ecology 10.64898/2026.10.06.756980 medRxiv
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1. Grassland biodiversity restoration efforts have largely focused on re-establishing diverse plant communities, with less attention paid to higher trophic levels such as invertebrates. 2. We established a controlled, field-scale restoration experiment across twelve lowland grassland sites in Switzerland in close collaboration with farmers. We manipulated seed addition (hay transfer, directly harvested seeds, or multiplied seed mixtures) and soil disturbance (shallow or deep tillage), with treatments applied to meadows covering, on average, 0.5 ha. Four to six years after restoration, we quantified the components of species richness change (lost, persisting, gained from site surroundings, and gained from donors), and estimated dark diversity (species that are absent from a location but could potentially occur there) for plants, Auchenorrhyncha and Orthoptera. 3. Compared to plants, invertebrates exhibited greater species turnover, with higher proportions of species lost and gained from the surroundings, but much lower contributions from the donor meadows. However, species persistence was high across taxa. Restoration operations strongly influenced components of species richness change in plants but had weaker effects on invertebrates. In particular, multiplied seed mixtures + deep tillage had the highest proportion of plant species not transferred, suggesting that many species in the seed mixture were poorly suited to local conditions. In both plants and Auchenorrhyncha, components of species richness change were strongly mediated by site characteristics, with initial species richness in both receiver and donor emerging as the strongest predictors. 4. Within each taxonomic group, 41% of species not transferred from the donor belonged to the dark diversity, suggesting substantial unrealized restoration potential. Restoration operations impacted dark diversity for plants and Auchenorrhyncha but not for Orthoptera. In plants, dark diversity was substantially lower under multiplied seed mixtures + deep tillage than under other treatments. The probability of a species belonging to dark diversity was associated with specific leaf area in plants and initial relative abundance in Auchenorrhyncha. 5. Synthesis and applications. Components of species richness change were influenced by both restoration operations and site characteristics, with their relative importance varying among taxa, underscoring the need for multi-taxon restoration strategies.

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More fruits, more frugivores, but not necessarily more visits: findings from two tropical plant-avian frugivore communities

Mandal, R.; Lad, H.; Desai, N.; Kadam, R.; Osuri, A. M.; Naniwadekar, R.

2026-10-09 ecology 10.64898/2026.10.08.757600 medRxiv
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Fruit resource availability can influence the local abundance of avian frugivores through bottom-up regulation, but whether greater resource availability translates into higher visitation rates to fruiting trees remains poorly understood. Greater fruit availability could increase visitation by supporting larger frugivore populations, or reduce visitation to individual trees if increases in frugivore abundance are not proportionate to those in fruit availability or if frugivores distribute their foraging effort. Understanding these relationships can provide insights into the relative role of abundance and trait-based mechanisms in structuring plant-frugivore communities. We compared fruit availability, avian frugivore abundance, and frugivore visitation rates on fruiting trees across two protected wet tropical forest sites: Anamalai Tiger Reserve in the Western Ghats and Namdapha Tiger Reserve in the Eastern Himalaya. Specifically, we quantified the availability of bird-consumed fruits across one-ha patches, estimated local abundances of major frugivore groups, and tested whether visitation rates on individual fruiting trees were related to frugivore abundance, body mass, and degree of frugivory. We found that small-seeded fruit availability was significantly higher in Anamalai than in Namdapha. Local abundances of several relatively small-bodied frugivore groups, including bulbuls, barbets, fairy-bluebirds, and mynas, were also higher in Anamalai. However, visitation rates of several frugivore groups on individual fruiting trees were higher in Namdapha. Visitation rates across all avian frugivore species were associated with frugivore abundances only in Anamalai, and not associated with body mass or degree of frugivory in either site. Thus, although greater fruit availability was likely associated with higher frugivore abundance, this increase in abundance did not consistently translate into higher visitation rates at individual fruiting trees, which provides some support for the resource dilution hypothesis. Our results highlight the importance of considering fruit resource availability and frugivore abundance when examining variation in tropical plant-frugivore interactions.

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Data-driven identification of the ecologically relevant climatic windows and climate summaries with StatClim model

Klimes, A.; Macek, M.; Wild, J.; Bruna, J.; Kopecky, M.

2026-10-09 ecology 10.64898/2026.10.07.757008 medRxiv
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Climate affects biological processes and organisms. It is extensively recorded, and its effects are frequently studied. Climatic variables are recorded as time series of measurements, but these are often summarized as long-term averages, throwing away biologically relevant information. Subsequent analyses can therefore miss important climate effects or suffer from low predictive power. Here, we propose a new method, StatClim, inferring the most informative climatic summary from the data. Instead of taking a fixed arbitrary summary of a time series, StatClim automatically estimates the beginning and width of a climatic window and simultaneously calculates data aggregation, which best predicts a response variable. We implemented the proposed approach as a Bayesian hierarchical model in Stan. We illustrated the potential of StatClim on published data on mast seeding of Fagus sylvatica. StatClim correctly identified known climatic windows relevant for this tree species, but also uncovered that mast seeding is triggered by high temperatures within these windows. We demonstrated flexibility of the model to account for complex data structures, we ran power analysis showing the ability of the model to identify climatic effects even with modest datasets, and we evaluated its false positive rate, which is lower than 0.01. We discuss the advantages and limitations of StatClim. Compared to existing alternatives, it is suitable for hypothesis testing and offers important advances, such as estimation of the type of aggregation. In combination with existing methods, StatClim will facilitate data-driven use of climatic and microclimatic data and therefore discovering so far unknown climatic effects on biological processes and ecosystem functioning.

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Reconciling intrinsic and ecosystem water-use efficiency reveals physiological mechanisms underlying carbon-water coupling across biological scales

Puchi, P. F.; Dalmonech, D.; Castagneri, D.; Vangi, E.; Lehmann, M. H.; Saurer, M.; Klesse, S.; Hortnagl, L.; Collalti, A.

2026-10-08 ecology 10.64898/2026.10.07.757244 medRxiv
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Understanding how carbon-water coupling scales from leaves to ecosystems remains a major challenge because water-use efficiency (WUE) metrics integrate physiological, hydrological, and ecological processes. We integrated tree-ring width, triple stable isotopes ({delta}13C, {delta}18O and {delta}2H), eddy covariance (EC) observations, and a process-based model to investigate the drivers of intrinsic (iWUE) and ecosystem water-use efficiency (WUEeco) across biological scales in a mature Fagus sylvatica forest between 2004 and 2023. Modelled and isotope-derived iWUE were strongly correlated (r = 0.61, p < 0.05) and both indicated an approximately 20% long-term increase, consistent with increasing gross primary productivity. In contrast, WUEeco derived from EC was lower than model estimates and exhibited a positive trend not reproduced by the model. This divergence primarily reflected differences in biological representation and hydrological integration, as the single-species model underestimated ecosystem evapotranspiration by excluding co-occurring deciduous and evergreen species together with understory vegetation. Triple-isotope analyses showed that the long-term increase in iWUE was driven by enhanced photosynthetic assimilation rather than sustained stomatal closure, whereas {delta}18O and {delta}2H variability was mainly controlled by source-water dynamics. These findings provide a mechanistic framework for reconciling leaf- and ecosystem-scale WUE and improving predictions of forest carbon-water coupling under climate change.

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Moisture structures litter faunal communities through productivity and trait filtering effects

Butterworth, N. J.; Porch, N.; Barnes, A. D.; Carlesso, A.; McGeoch, M. A.; Murphy, N. P.; Dawson, M.; Gibb, H.

2026-09-24 ecology 10.64898/2026.09.18.752524 medRxiv
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Litter invertebrates mediate a substantial proportion of decomposition and nutrient cycling in terrestrial ecosystems, yet how moisture availability structures their communities remains poorly understood. We propose that moisture availability could shape litter faunal communities through two alternate pathways: (1) a productivity effect: greater productivity and detrital inputs in wetter forests should increase litter-faunal abundance, (2) a trait effect: phylogenetic differences in water balance should filter communities according to taxon-specific moisture tolerances. We tested these expectations across 100 forest sites spanning a moisture gradient in south-eastern Australia, from dry sclerophyll forest to cool temperate rainforest. Measuring 11 focal invertebrate taxa, total litter-faunal abundance increased threefold across the moisture gradient, from 400,000 individuals per hectare of dry forest to 1.2 million individuals per hectare of rainforest - consistent with greater resource availability in wetter and more productive habitats. However, this overall abundance trend masked pronounced variation in community composition across habitat types. While moisture-sensitive crustaceans and myriapods (particularly Isopoda and Chilopoda) were concentrated in rainforest litter, two groups of hexapods (Blattodea and Embioptera) were most abundant in dry forest litter and declined sharply toward rainforest habitat. These contrasting responses indicate that dry forests do not simply represent depauperate versions of wet-forest communities but harbour their own distinct and abundant litter invertebrate assemblages. Thus, moisture structures litter faunal communities via both proposed mechanisms: (1) a productivity effect and (2) a trait filtering effect. Given that moisture fundamentally structures litter faunal communities, shifts in forest moisture regimes under climate change may substantially alter detritivore communities, with consequences for decomposition processes and nutrient cycling globally.

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Heat stress reveals divergent pollen viability responses across species and populations of monkeyflower

Denney, D. A.; Byron, C. N.; Lowry, D. B.

2026-09-28 plant biology 10.64898/2026.09.25.754521 medRxiv
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Premise Rising temperatures can reduce plant reproductive success by disrupting pollen development, yet little is known about how reproductive heat sensitivity varies among natural populations. We evaluated pollen viability responses to elevated temperature in two closely related taxa of yellow monkeyflowers across multiple geographic scales to determine whether heat sensitivity varies among species, between populations and across elevations. Methods We conducted three common garden growth chamber experiments. First, we compared pollen viability responses to heat stress between Mimulus guttatus and members of the M. tilingii species complex. Second, we tested whether broad elevational categories explained variation in heat responses. Third, we evaluated heat sensitivity among nine eastern Sierra Nevada populations of M. guttatus spanning an elevational gradient. Pollen viability was assessed following exposure to control and heat treatments. Key results Heat exposure reduced pollen viability in all experiments. In the species comparison experiment, pollen viability decreased more strongly in the high-elevation restricted M. tilingii species complex than the widespread M. guttatus. We found substantial population-level variation in pollen viability within M. guttatus but not members of the M. tilingii complex. Broad elevational categories did not explain this variation in pollen viability responses. However, within eastern Sierra Nevada populations, reductions in pollen viability became stronger with increasing source elevation. Several populations deviated from this trend, indicating reproductive responses to heat cannot be explained by elevation alone. Conclusions Pollen heat sensitivity varies substantially among species and populations of yellow monkeyflowers. Elevation alone is insufficient to predict pollen viability responses to elevated temperatures, suggesting that local adaptation or genetic variation may contribute to reproductive heat tolerance. Some populations of M. guttatus may contain greater capacity to maintain reproductive function under future warming, highlighting the importance of considering intraspecific variation when predicting plant responses to climate change.